Where the AI market is talking

What will our economic future look like?

how will this manifest itself!? like you envision a future where there will be say a hospital, ran by anthropic which is AI powered fully, no company behind it, just plain Claude running everything from the moment you walk in till you walk out? I am having a hard time imagining a future where “AI” isn’t just a tool that a given establishment decided to use much like anything else they use

What will our economic future look like?

Software company pens speculative narratives about impact of not-yet-realized features. This reminds me of the corny old copies of The Futurist magazine that my dad kept around. Fun, hopelessly naive, and not at all aligned with how reality unfolded. Nice that Anthropic can afford a team of economists somehow though.

Matt Mullenweg put on 'leave of absence'

But the fact that she went on leave just as it became clear that Anthropic looked to be hitting escape velocity is suspicious, although not dispositive. When she was hired, her health issues also stopped her from coming into the office, but she still worked from home.

Anthropic Is Building a Predictive Surveillance System to Monitor Activists

Neither did you. If you had, you wouldn't have fallen for the user's weird re-writing of it. The original title actually better represents the article than this summary. I mean how do you completely leave this out: > In a wide-ranging conversation about threat monitoring and analysis, the interview also touches on monitoring activists. “Last year we had an executive travel into a major city when we received some intelligence through Samdesk about a planned protest,” Ellison said. The originally scheduled protest was moved up due to permitting issues. “Samdesk gave us about 60 minutes of advanced notice that the protest organizers had moved the timeline,” Ellison explained. “That extra hour was critical. Without it our executives would have departed their meetings, they would have ran r…

What will our economic future look like?

Anthropic is eyeing an IPO. Of course they're spinning a narrative where their product will reshape the entire economy. They have a vested interest in doing so in the most literal sense of the meaning.

Anthropic discloses fourth AI hacking incident missed in earlier review

What will our economic future look like?

It's genius for Anthropic: data centers are their main expense. If they convince everyone to become an electrician, then the electrician labor supply swells, and the price of hiring electricians to service their data centers shrinks. 4-D chess at its finest.

Anthropic Is Building a Predictive Surveillance System to Monitor Activists

We're literally commenting on an article where Samdesk flagged a public protest to Anthropic security and Anthropic employees chose to not go by it. The absolute EVIL of a public protest being avoided by people is UNSPEAKABLE. That a company would ever even consider offering information about public protests to people is OPPRESSIVE.

Anthropic Is Building a Predictive Surveillance System to Monitor Activists

We're literally commenting on an article where this company tracked anti-AI activists and Anthropic actioned on that.

What will our economic future look like?

Cut the fucking crap Anthropic. While I personally benefit from AI at the moment I think with the way our society is organized / managed / ruled AI will help us to a major disaster

Anthropic researcher says more than 10% chance AI "could kill all humans"

But this is marketing. This is just pre-IPO talk. Anthropic’s goal is not anything to do with AI, it is purely to generate more profit than any other company. Securing/lobbying to regulate their competitors through doom talk, or promising that they will bankrupt every other company because AI will “do it all, better than everyone else” is purely for investment purpose. As long as their incentive is monetary, it’s not unreasonable to believe this is just marketing.

What will our economic future look like?

My job hasn’t completely changed. It’s changed, but fundamentally I solve problems. Sometimes LLMs help me do that now. The job market sucks, but there are so many confounding factors: pandemic over hiring, the loss of ZIRP, an economy that would be recession if it weren’t for data center investment, and may be in recession soon even with it. This industry has been in down cycles before. It’s just been a while. So far it feels like a down cycle, not the sky falling. It’s not clear what the future will hold, but I’m 100% sure it won’t evolve the way Anthropic predicts. Both because they have strong biases and because there's just no way to predict how this technology will play out. Humans are, if anything, remarkably adaptable.

I resigned from Anthropic today

And we really only have OpenAI’s word for it that they had no access to their own weights there and didn’t exfiltrate them. No one who knows that incident could suggest it was beyond its capabilities to do that. And we would have never heard about any of this if it wasn’t investigated by an external party (hugging face). It may have happened elsewhere already. It’s not likely to have, but it is very possible this was our last “free” warning.

I resigned from Anthropic today

And we really only have OpenAI’s word for it that they had no access to their own weights there and didn’t exfiltrate them. No one who knows that incident could suggest it was beyond its capabilities to do that. And we would have never heard about any of this if it wasn’t investigated by an external party (hugging face). It may have happened elsewhere already. It’s not likely to have, but it is very possible this was our last “free” warning.

Is OpenAI Taking Everyone for Fools?

Without seeing the full correspondence it’s hard to evaluate for sure, but parent linked to a tweet from the OpenAI employee at the center of the controversy, that’s a primary source you can read and evaluate yourself Personally I don’t find the tweet a satisfactory explanation of their behavior, it seems like a lot of deflection without directly responding to the specific claims of front-running, and the screen cap of the correspondence doesn’t include all the relevant context. If there was really no bad behavior, why not post the whole thing?

What will our economic future look like?

This is a spherical cow model. Here are their stated assumptions: • Production involves a combination of tasks, where each task is performed by labor or by capital. The final goods market is perfectly competitive. • Labor is supplied exogenously while capital is supplied along an upward-sloping schedule. • There are two groups of occupations, of which only the cognitive group is exposed to AI. For the amount of money Anthropic can spend on this, that's a very lame model. The "two groups of occupations" assumption is so naive as to be embarrassing. The assumption that only the "cognitive group" is exposed to AI is way too optimistic. We're close to automating drivers out of existence, and there's political pushback against that. Logistics is about half automated now and the rest is only a …

I-have-ADHD: A skill to stop coding agents from burying the answer

Not unless you are anthropic/openai, or run your own models.

I-have-ADHD: A skill to stop coding agents from burying the answer

Not unless you are anthropic/openai, or run your own models.

Six Chinese AI firms accused of aggressively copying US frontier models

Though credit where its due, Google did release open-weight AI models like Gemma but still hides its flagships hidden. The closest we got to open weights was during the Anthropic hack few months ago.

On the Navier–Stokes Millennium Prize Problem

> the case is undecided and about an entirely different kind of IP theft The guy mocked accessing his prior employer's circuit diagrams and was protected by OpenAI until Apple filed suit. Tabula rasa , sure, we need more evidence. But ignoring the priors should at least be explicitly acknowledged.