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"Nvidia’s $350bn OpenAI loan is scaring everyone" - https://youtu.be/B07mYv-IeU8
Yeah this persuaded me more than I thought it would, but there are still some pretty big differences IMO. A frontier AI model is a lot harder and more costly to produce than an encryption algorithm. Especially if we believe Anthropic that the Chinese can only do it by distilling their models (though tbh I would err on the side of not believing that).
CoT evidently helps but a bias towards both correctness and innovation has to come from somewhere. The article implies OpenAI's proofs may be supported by Lean but regardless, who knows how many people are trying to disprove the next conjecture each day throwing away nonanswers. Fundamentally these systems are more powerful with better training and sampling methods, or better prompting. Tokens matter but you can rewrite many prompts to get a much better, faster answer using fewer tokens vs allowing "thinking" to go on and on.
> Why not just use claude Cowork? Because people want to be able to do things like use their own clients of pi or opencode with LLMs they run themselves, such as the just released deepseek v4 flash 0731, not permanently tied to an Anthropic ecosystem of non-open-weight LLMs and pay forever per token.
Subjectively, OpenAI's image generation is the only one that consistently works for me and renders what I describe in the way I describe it at an acceptable level of quality. I don't understand how NB gets so much credit compared to what OpenAI is offering.
> that AI models were reaching their upper possible limits in Feburary 2024, I’m curious, removing coding as a criterion what is more impressive about the current models than say gpt 4o? Give a prompt example. Keep in mind most consumers of AI are likely not using it for coding so this is relevant. I doubt anyone could give a not coding example where it’s meaningfully better with current frontier than 4o. Take humaneval. 4o gets 90, gpt 5.6 gets 94%. So what? https://openai.com/index/hello-gpt-4o/ If an iPhone had a 4o quality model that could run locally frontier models would be finished.
>Gemini seems to have the best image editing and creation capabilities This was true until late April, when OpenAI's GPT Image 2 overtook Nano Banana 2.
Consistently impressed with the performance of Grok, given they started so much later than everyone else and, in some ways, are less well funded compared to OpenAI and Anthropic. I wonder how much of this is just luck, name recognition, or management style. Marc Andreesen likes to talk about how Elon companies have a unique engineering-heavy management structure, which contrasts the research heavy cultures of OpenAI and other labs, and it makes me wonder if that sort of thing could be behind their relative success.
Consistently impressed with the performance of Grok, given they started so much later than everyone else and, in some ways, are less well funded compared to OpenAI and Anthropic. I wonder how much of this is just luck, name recognition, or management style. Marc Andreesen likes to talk about how Elon companies have a unique engineering-heavy management structure, which contrasts the research heavy cultures of OpenAI and other labs, and it makes me wonder if that sort of thing could be behind their relative success.
Too late to edit, but - all of that was before I read the openai / hugging face kerfuffle. If openai cannot contain it's own agentic ai, it's pure hubris to think I can give it access to a mailbox and bank account and be safe about it :) https://www.newyorker.com/news/the-lede/inside-openai-hack-o...
Raw stolen data that is in no way related to AI vs a very very expensive transformative compilation of that raw stolen data that results in usable AI. The frustration is completely understandable to me, since distillation skips much of that "very very expensive" part. And yes, I understand the stolen data was expensive to make, so I understand the owners of it are also frustrated, but that's partly a problem with current law. Would the authors of the world be rich if OpenAI bought a single copy of their book to legally scan? For best sellers, that's somewhere around pennies, so no. Should the authors get a share in OpenAI? Current laws says, unambiguously, "no". Frustration all around is reasonable.
> uhh openai just did a whole thing with arc agi where they very clearly explained that you will lose a lot of performance if you do, this isnt just about convenience Which part are you referring to here? web_search coming from the provider hiding the tokens is just a convenience, there is no reason it can't be done with revealing information. Their compaction on the server might be amazing, but at least in principle it can be replicated on the client side as well and it could have been implemented in a way that reveals the new initial context.
> uhh openai just did a whole thing with arc agi where they very clearly explained that you will lose a lot of performance if you do, this isnt just about convenience Which part are you referring to here? web_search coming from the provider hiding the tokens is just a convenience, there is no reason it can't be done with revealing information. Their compaction on the server might be amazing, but at least in principle it can be replicated on the client side as well and it could have been implemented in a way that reveals the new initial context.
Anthropics initial post felt like marketing to me. But I also found them incompetent for being unable to unplug an Ethernet cable. Now everyone is trying to bandwagon onto it, first OpenAI, and now tailscale?
Anthropics initial post felt like marketing to me. But I also found them incompetent for being unable to unplug an Ethernet cable. Now everyone is trying to bandwagon onto it, first OpenAI, and now tailscale?
yep. I've been saying for month that exactly this will happen with DeepSeek and Kimi K3, and margins will erode, and Anthropic will fail to IPO.
> Anthropic already possesses the compliance, legal, and evaluation infrastructure needed to satisfy such a regime. A university lab, startup, or community does not, even if they somehow manage to train a sufficiently capable model. All the actual proposals that Dario Amodei has endorsed with regard to safety testing and so on have exempted smaller models. I don't think university labs or startups would ever be hit by any such regulation.
It's at least 2.5x that speed for dual sparks and prefill is good as well. Basically going on vibes it is faster seeming than what one gets by default with openAI or Anthropic.
It's at least 2.5x that speed for dual sparks and prefill is good as well. Basically going on vibes it is faster seeming than what one gets by default with openAI or Anthropic.
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