Where the AI market is talking

Ask HN: How much money do you spend monthly on subscriptions for AI models?

Just $20 a month to Anthropic. I've run into having to step away from the AI projects for a bit here and there due to burning the 5-hour window in 3 hours a handful of times. But never ran out of the weekly usage with days to go.

Fortunes from AI revive effective altruism after Sam Bankman-Fried turmoil

Archive: https://archive.is/20260814045441/https://www.ft.com/content... The EA folks are at it again > The FT has identified more than 60 current and former Anthropic employees who have pledged on the “Giving What We Can” platform to donate at least 10 per cent of their income, reflecting effective altruism’s emphasis on using evidence and data to maximise the impact of philanthropy. Anthropic’s seven co-founders, who each have an estimated worth of about $8bn, have separately pledged to give away 80 per cent of their wealth, creating the prospect of billions of dollars in future donations. > The prospect of new AI-created wealth is breathing new life into a movement that was forced into a reckoning after FTX’s former chief Bankman-Fried — one of …

Qwen 3.8 27B

Similar to the way they asked Sol to solve Erdos problems, that's what I want my model to do for programming. I don't want to try to take my best educated guess at what the best design is BEFORE implementation - especially if you're designing a feature for a codebase you're not an expert in, you don't know like the back of your hand (i.e. one that is mostly or entirely LLM generated). What sounds good on paper - often times becomes unideal in practice when you get to the reality of implementation. It may not be worth re-architecting your entire system to get to a "pure" design that would be the best - all things considered. Instead, I'd like the model to independently design many plausible and coherent good solutions, then implement each of them, then intelligently pick the few winners (a…

Why does Opus 5 feel worse to work with?

> according to Anthropic and Google, it doesn’t really impact the quality of responses. I find that a bit hard to believe, although those guys are much smarter than I. I would guess "it doesn't impact the quality of responses" was guaranteed to be claimed before they even implemented any of the watermarking. And would come from marketing, not the people who implemented it.

The Qdrant Output Connector

When Genius Fails: The Intellectual Arrogance of the AI Labs

This is only true if newer investors get pro-rata ownership of the Anthropic stake. If that position is side-pocketed, then any investors who were not there at the time of the Anthropic allocation are looking at around 90% loss on their investment.

When Genius Fails: The Intellectual Arrogance of the AI Labs

Not FTX the exchange, he was working at the FTX Future Fund which is part of the philanthropic foundation SBF created as part of his effective altruism commitment (the same SBF who also provided $500M to help Anthropic get started btw, just a few weeks before going bust). As a side note, it’s pretty insane how many people of the AI industry have a relationship to effective altruism

Why Wall Street is ignoring big tech's debt [video]

I agree with you. Look at railroads, cars, computers, and other technologies that really did end up being world-changing. How many of the original companies are still around? Sometimes I feel like OpenAI will end up like Fairchild Semiconductor: an early innovator that quickly became an historical footnote.

Why does Opus 5 feel worse to work with?

> I was surprised to find that OpenAI Sol is much much nicer to work with than Opus 5 or Fable at the moment. Why were you surprised?

Why does Opus 5 feel worse to work with?

The reasons thinking traces are pretty much gone is, supposedly, to prevent distillation. Whether that is actually true or just an excuse is up in the air (because I at least am not going to trust Anthropics claims on why they do it).

Why does Opus 5 feel worse to work with?

>it feels like reading an impression of a literature book by a high school English class’s most overconfident student who’s only ever read LinkedIn-speak. Claude is very much the “stupid person’s idea of an intelligent person”[0] which, I suspect, is why it is so popular. It certainly explains why half the internet is huge chunks of Claude-authored gibberish copied and pasted and published. If people didn’t think it sounded clever they wouldn’t put their name behind its ramblings - but very few of them seem to realise that a lot of people see straight through the bullshit and know instantly that they didn’t write it themselves. But equally, a lot of people can’t tell, and read whatever it is and think “that person must be clever!” So you have people incapable of coherently expressing t…

When Genius Fails: The Intellectual Arrogance of the AI Labs

Yes… and some folks gave him money. Per reporting from the NY Times he was broadly laughed out of the room with “East Coast” money which has a massive amount to invest but tends to hold a higher standard on where it goes. Per that reporting, the combination of a lack of experience and inability to give coherent answers to basic questions meant those folks stayed far away. Regardless he was still able to build a giant pile of cash before alighting it on fire.

Grok 4.6

I've been hearing this myth since ChatGPT came out - that the labs have superAI that they're just slowly trickling out as competition forces them to. Everyone in silicon valley has a cousin who's supposedly seen Anthropic's new unreleased model that changes everything forever. I distinctly recall sitting in a work meeting where a coworker was insisting GPT4 was AGI that anthropic was too scared to release. It's amazing to me that this playbook is still working at least somewhat on folks.

When Genius Fails: The Intellectual Arrogance of the AI Labs

Degree is the entire problem. I mean, four years back I was thinking: I don't know how long it will take, but Hollywood is obviously screwed the moment something like Stable Diffusion gets temporal coherency and stops randomly adding limbs, because the energy cost per image on my laptop multiplied by how many frames in a film and $0.1/kWh, is ballpark the same as the cost of a cinema ticket. Right now temporal coherency is still quite limited, and the models still do enough daft things you can't easily take the first version even when cutting every 5 seconds. I still have no idea how far we are from something that would be good enough to render a Hollywood film. Well, a Hollywood that isn't a complete disaster. Writing it is a separate problem, my experiments there show gradual impro…

When Genius Fails: The Intellectual Arrogance of the AI Labs

>> Wait is this real? Did a random 25yo get 45B under management because he got some interviews after getting fired from OpenAI? They though they would laugh all the way to the bank...but that laugh was already the problem... "We Need To Talk About Leopold" - https://youtu.be/rE75WvOtcu8

GLM-5.3: Frontier coding with emergent cyber capabilities

Fable 5 is just over two months old. For normal software it would be as you say, but LLM progress is so ridiculously fast that things go from "bleeding edge" to "eh, you'll do" in about that timeframe, and "eh, you'll do" to "why even bother with this old rubbish?" in the same again. Or, from a different perspective, we can expect some new frontier model from Anthropic in a week or two, and from OpenAI in a month or so.

When Genius Fails: The Intellectual Arrogance of the AI Labs

Before OpenAI / situational-awareness he made a lot of money on societal-shift type investments and shorts during the lead up to Covid economic impacts. His "main thing" is success in calling economic impacts of undervalued large shifts, and the premise of the fund is basically that the same thing is occurring around AI, where he also has specific subject matter expertise.

When Genius Fails: The Intellectual Arrogance of the AI Labs

And before OpenAI, he was at FTX.

Every Fucking Website

Yea , thank u , I really despite those websites of current web, much JS, colors, much images and animations with mouse, and million fonts , rounded buttons and everything is rounded and "modern" and slow and bloated why cant have we simple websites, small coherent nice color palette to just read and know the needed info ? hackernews is extremely good example suckless: https://suckless.org/sucks/web/ is another brilliant example

When Genius Fails: The Intellectual Arrogance of the AI Labs

Well it's not a random 25 year old. He became valedictorian at Columbia and graduated at 19. He was then briefly a part of OpenAI's superalignment team. After he got fired, he wrote a 165 page thesis on AI in early 2024 that all ended up becoming true in 2026; you can read it for yourself and be the judge: https://situational-awareness.ai That's what he based the fund on. It's generational foresight not available to 99.999999999999999999% of 25 year olds. I want to get ahead of the default cynicism and "oh it's just dumb luck woe is me" aspect of HN.